Here's what you need to know for Central Florida's weather for Monday and the week ahead:

  • Flood Watch until 8 p.m. due to tropical moisture from remnants of Erika
  • Typical summertime pattern resumes Tuesday, with 40–50 percent chance of rain
  • Hurricane Fred no threat to the U.S.

Tropical moisture continued streaming into the state Monday from the open wave once known as Erika. This moisture, combined with the east coast sea breeze and potential boundaries from scattered storms, will help our widespread rain coverage continue through the late evening hours.

Because of the high moisture value in the atmosphere, showers and storms could produce locally heavy rain. A flood watch has expired as of 8 p.m.

Rain begins wrapping up around 10:30 to 11 p.m., with a partly to mostly cloudy sky overnight. Lows stay mild in the middle 70s.

View: StormTracker 13 Interactive Radar

Map: Cloud-to-Ground Lightning

We are about to return to our typical summertime pattern, with afternoon showers and storms driven by the sea breezes. A ridge of high pressure builds back over the state, keeping us in a southerly flow. This may turn more to the southwesterly by Wednesday and Thursday as the ridge is edged slightly west by a trough over the mid-Atlantic region.

In any case, we will lower rain chances a bit Tuesday at 40–50 percent, 50–60 percent Wednesday through the weekend. Highs are forecast to heat back into the upper 80s and lower 90s, with overnight lows in the mid-70s.

Category 1 Hurricane Fred is passing over the Cape Verde Islands at this time. Sustained winds of 85 mph are hammering the island chain, as this storm rolls to the northwest at a slow 12 mph.

Fred will continue moving in this general direction through Thursday. As he encounters colder sea surface temperatures and strong wind shear, Fred will more than likely slip below hurricane status tomorrow, and drop below tropical storm status by Friday. No other tropical development is expected.

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